Those three will continue to dominate gaming. While smartphone gaming is a viable, living market, it is not going to eliminate console gaming because the hardware just isn't there and won't be for a while.
You cannot have a visceral gaming experience on a phone with only touch as the interface, a 4-6 inch screen and smartphone hardware like the iPhone's A6 chip (even though it's quite good for a smartphone).
Yeah, I play games on my iPhone. But this market is not one I would call dedicated or serious. People who play games on their phones and not anywhere else did not 'give up' console or PC gaming to begin playing on their phones, and those who play on console or PC and their phones are not about to give it up for phone/tablet gaming. Phone and tablet gaming will continue to exist as a 'time-waster' types of games/apps, something you perhaps do on a train or bus, etc. I do not see the actual gaming market falling under because of it. People who game on their smartphones are already doing it, and smartphone use is high. It's not a thing that's coming and isn't here yet - it's already here, and it isn't wiping console/PC game usage off the board, nor will it. A smartphone game is something simple, it is not the immersive experience that games have become over the past few years and will continue to become. People still want that - gamers still want that. And casuals are at an all-time high in terms of interest because of stuff like Kinect and the Wii.
Sony and Microsoft will be fine, and so will Nintendo because they have far too much money to go under because of the Wii U's sales. This isn't a Sega situation for anybody. Game analysts are idiots, they are wrong about almost everything.
<message edited by Satanas on Thursday, February 21, 2013 1:02 PM>
And He provideth us with Knack,
a game of Glory too great for the mind of man.