It was ridiculous at how expensive DVD players were when they first came out compared to VCRs, even though it was much like a CD player. It was ridiculous when Blu-Ray players came out, which were very similar to DVD players. New technology is expensive at first, there's no getting around it.
I don't think anyone believes a 4K TV will cost $40,000. $5,000-10,000 is very realistic though.
Want to find quotes of $30-40k from the last 6 months look at those who argued with me on my thread. Some expecting $20,000 prices into 2014.
Sony's 55" 4k TV is already set for $5000 in April (if anyone recalls that is exactly what I had up for a bet that mart refused). If anyone prices even slightly higher than them and can't beat them in quality they are dead in the water. 84" 4k sets are already going for sub $10k when they were $20-40k a few months back.
It really doesn't cost that much, things just have to be re-engineered until yields are suitable for mass market production.
Think about how many of those $40k 4ktvs will never be sold at that price. It is initially expensive, but with low yields and prices no one will pay for anyway once they drop in price 2 months later, they have mark up the sets even more, and hold off as long as they can for mass production level yields that are profitable. It's about refining the tech in the meantime.
A lot of Moore's law is waiting for yields to go up enough to mass produce the tech to fund the testing and re-engineering of said product.
This is a bit more sudden than usual, but that is because 4ktv price war have been going on in china for the last 2+ years without ever hearing a peep about it here.
<message edited by ZoyosJD on Monday, April 15, 2013 3:26 PM>